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Putin’s ‘military-technical’ threat marks a managed escalation ahead of NATO talks on Estonia
Vladimir Putin has shifted from ambiguity to overt threats. On Monday, at an extraordinary meeting of Russia’s Security Council convened on the eve of NATO consultations on an alleged 12-minute Russian incursion into Estonian airspace, the Russian leader warned the…
ISW suggests Kremlin approved Bloomberg leak on plans to intensify strikes against Ukraine
Analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) assess that Vladimir Putin may have organised or at least approved the disclosure of Kremlin thinking to Bloomberg about plans to step up attacks on Ukraine’s energy system and other…
Trump says US seeking to regain control of Afghanistan’s Bagram airbase
U.S. President Donald Trump has said his administration is seeking to re-establish control over Bagram airbase in Afghanistan, four years after American forces vacated the facility during the 2021 withdrawal. Speaking alongside UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer on 18 September,…
Report: Russian-made small arms entering Italy via mafia channels and ‘shadow fleet’
Italian investigative outlet Linkiesta has reported that Russian-origin small arms and ammunition have been moved covertly into Italy through mafia structures, with consignments routed by sea and overland and then warehoused by clans for resale or contingency use. The report,…
Russia launches 619 drones and missiles at Ukraine; air defences neutralise 583
Russia conducted a large-scale combined strike across Ukraine overnight from 19 to 20 September, launching 619 aerial assets comprising attack drones and missiles. Ukraine’s Air Force reported that 583 of these were destroyed or suppressed, with impacts and falling debris recorded in…
Byadmin
White House’s $6bn bet on Israel risks deepening divides
The White House’s request to push through a $6.4 billion arms package to Israel could hardly come at a more combustible time. Thirty Apache helicopters, thousands of armoured assault vehicles, and hundreds of millions in spare parts may strengthen Israel’s battlefield position…
- Byadmin
MiG-31s over Estonia expose a NATO posture Moscow now expects
Estonia’s report that three Russian MiG-31s penetrated its airspace near Vaindloo Island on 19 September is the fourth such violation this year and the most serious to date: the jets reportedly remained inside for around 12 minutes, with transponders off,…
Estonia summons Russian envoy after MiG-31 incursion; Poland reports low passes over Petrobaltic Baltic platform
Estonia summoned Russia’s chargé d’affaires in Tallinn on Friday, 19 September, after three Russian MiG-31 fighter jets entered Estonian airspace over the Gulf of Finland and remained for around 12 minutes. The Estonian Foreign Ministry issued a formal note of…
Trump withholds Taiwan security aid as White House pursues talks with Beijing
President Donald Trump declined to approve a US$400 million–plus military aid package for Taiwan over the summer, as his administration seeks a trade agreement and a possible autumn summit with China’s leader, Xi Jinping, according to multiple reports. The move…
Ukraine targets Russian energy sites in Bashkortostan and Volgograd
Ukrainian forces struck two major energy facilities deep inside Russia overnight on 17–18 September, hitting the Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat petrochemical complex in Bashkortostan and the Lukoil-operated Volgograd oil refinery. Regional authorities in Bashkortostan reported a fire at the Salavat site…