


Reported US warnings to Warsaw point to a limited Russian provocation rather than a conventional invasion. The aim would be to fracture NATO decision-making, weaken support for Ukraine, and expose uncertainty over Washington’s response. Reported American warnings to Warsaw that…

Great powers can decline with dignity. Formerly great powers, by contrast, often compensate for diminished means with inflated rhetoric. Britain has chosen the latter course. It still speaks in the accents of a serious military state. Ministers talk of deterrence,…




NATO’s apparent decision to replace its ageing fleet of AWACS surveillance aircraft with Saab’s GlobalEye is, on the face of it, a procurement story: old planes out, newer planes in. In reality it looks rather more consequential than that. If…



