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Moscow and Tehran: Alleged Verba Missile Agreement Adds New Pressure on Washington

Moscow and Tehran: Alleged Verba Missile Agreement Adds New Pressure on Washington

A reported secret Russian-Iranian air defence deal has added a new layer of risk to an already volatile stand-off between Washington and Tehran, while raising wider questions about the strategic alignment linking Russia, Iran and, indirectly, China. According to a…

France and Germany remain deadlocked over €100bn FCAS fighter programme

France-Germany rift over FCAS fighter jet raises new doubts over Europe’s flagship air combat project

A public dispute between France and Germany over the next generation of European fighter aircraft has renewed uncertainty around the Future Combat Air System (FCAS), one of the continent’s most expensive and politically significant defence programmes. The disagreement centres on…

The 48-Hour Problem: NATO’s Response Under Pressure in a Baltic Drill

The 48-Hour Problem: NATO’s Response Under Pressure in a Baltic Drill

In the days leading up to the Munich Security Conference on 13–15 February 2026, European media carried a run of scenario-based reporting on how a future security shock might unfold on NATO’s eastern flank. Several of the most widely circulated…

If Russia Wins: A Scenario and the Logic of the West’s Managed Defeat

If Russia Wins: A Scenario and the Logic of the West’s Managed Defeat

When Carlo Masala set out his hypothetical “Russian victory” in Ukraine, he defined it narrowly: not a march to Kyiv, but Moscow retaining the territories it already occupies. That premise matters because it aligns with the kind of “freeze” or…

China-linked machine tools and chips: claims of a supply chain behind Russia’s Oreshnik missile

China-linked machine tools and chips: claims of a supply chain behind Russia’s Oreshnik missile

European governments have often treated dialogue with Beijing as a practical channel in foreign policy, including in managing risks linked to Russia’s war against Ukraine. A recent investigation by The Telegraph has prompted a different focus: whether Chinese-origin industrial equipment…