STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
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Nightfall: Britain promises Ukraine a ballistic missile – but the hard part comes after the press release
Britain says it will help Ukraine by developing a new ground-launched ballistic missile able to carry a 200kg warhead beyond 500 kilometres. The project, codenamed Nightfall, is billed as a rapid boost to Kyiv’s long-range strike power. It is also,…
Japan Steps Forward as a Pillar of Pacific Security
For much of the post-war era, Japan defined itself by restraint. Its pacifist constitution, born of defeat and devastation, shaped a national identity rooted in economic strength rather than military power. Yet as we move into 2026, Japan is quietly…
China’s Sanctions on America Are Loud, Symbolic – and Strategically Empty
Beijing insists that Taiwan is the immovable core of its national interest, the issue on which there can be no compromise and no retreat. Yet when confronted with the largest American arms package ever approved for the island, China’s response…
Let Ukraine Strike Back — Deeper Into Russia If Necessary
In a conflict now stretching into its fourth year, Ukraine has steadily refined not only its will to resist but its strategic acumen on the battlefield. The most recent milestone — a successful strike on Russia’s Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery using…
Beijing’s Nuclear Leap: China’s Missile Deployment Signals Strategic Sea Change
A draft Pentagon report concluded this week that Beijing has likely deployed more than 100 intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) across a series of newly constructed silo fields — a development with profound implications for the strategic balance between East and…
Pakistan’s Militarised State: A Strategic Threat Europe Can No Longer Ignore
Pakistan is not merely a troubled democracy with an overbearing army. It is, in effect, a militarised state whose institutions, economy and national identity are shaped by permanent confrontation. Nowhere is this more dangerous than in its posture towards its…
Ukraine, Russia and the Future of NATO: Europe Wakes Up to a Long War
Europe’s security debate is shifting from the language of “hybrid harassment” to that of a low-intensity war. A recent Financial Times analysis argues that Russia is conducting a systematic campaign of sabotage across the continent, using parcel bombs, arson, cyber…
What the President of Finland keeps silent about and what Ukraine must shout about
Western faith in multilateralism and “value-based realism” conceals a deeper strategic crisis, Hanna Hopko argues, as Ukraine and other “in-between” states become the decisive battleground in an emerging global confrontation. Finnish President Alexander Stubb wrote an article for Foreign Affairs…
Between Victory and Disintegration: Zaluzhnyi’s Stark Choices for Ukraine – and for Europe
Valerii Zaluzhnyi, now Ukraine’s ambassador to the United Kingdom and formerly Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, has set out one of the starkest assessments yet of the war and its political context. In a long essay for the Kyiv outlet…
Europe Must Develop the Power to Strike Deep — Before Russia Leaves It No Choice
Sweden’s announcement that it intends to acquire long-range weapons capable of striking deep inside Russian territory is not merely a Scandinavian adjustment to a worsening security climate. It is the first honest recognition, from any European government, of a truth our…