STRATEGIC ANALYSIS
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Taiwan’s Latest Military Drill Highlights a More Dangerous Status Quo
Taiwan’s armed forces will begin a five-day combat readiness exercise this week, marking another step in the island’s effort to reshape its military planning around a stark strategic reality: any future conflict with China may arrive with little warning. The…
NATO’s Kosovo Drawdown Signals Confidence — but Not Complacency
NATO’s decision to begin gradually reducing the size of its peacekeeping mission in Kosovo marks an important milestone in one of the alliance’s longest-running operations. Yet it also serves as a reminder that stability in the Western Balkans remains a…
Crimea’s Growing Isolation Exposes Russia’s Strategic Miscalculation
The latest overnight attacks on Russian-occupied Crimea have again exposed the peninsula’s central military weakness: its dependence on vulnerable supply routes linking it to occupied parts of southern Ukraine and to Russia itself. Strikes around Armyansk, following earlier damage to…
China and Taiwan’s Maritime Stand-off Signals a Dangerous New Phase
China and Taiwan’s latest confrontation over coast guard patrols east of the island underlines an increasingly volatile reality in the western Pacific: the battle for influence is no longer confined to fighter jets crossing median lines or naval exercises in…
Britain’s Defence Delusion: A Nation Rearming in Slow Motion
As Europe confronts its most dangerous security environment since the end of the Cold War, Britain’s political leadership appears trapped in a familiar cycle: ambitious declarations, strategic reviews and spending pledges that repeatedly fail to translate into meaningful action. The…
Taipei and Beijing Test Boundaries Again at Pratas as South China Sea Tensions Deepen
A fresh confrontation between Taiwanese and Chinese coast guard vessels near the Pratas Islands has underscored how the South China Sea is becoming an increasingly important theatre in the broader contest between Taipei and Beijing. What might once have been dismissed…
Zaluzhnyi says Black Sea control is central to Ukraine’s survival and Europe’s security
Ukraine’s former commander-in-chief used the Black Sea Security Forum in Odesa to argue that maritime control is not a regional issue, but a strategic condition for Ukraine’s economy, European security and the future balance of power around Russia. Valerii Zaluzhnyi…
UK Intelligence Puts Russian War Dead Near 500,000 as Hybrid Threats Against Europe Intensify
The head of GCHQ has given one of the clearest public British assessments yet of Russia’s military losses in Ukraine, while warning that Moscow is expanding cyber, sabotage and infrastructure threats across Europe. Russia has lost almost half a million…
Britain and Poland Forge New Security Pact as Russia Threat Deepens
As Britain recalibrates its post-Brexit role in Europe’s security architecture, a new defence treaty with Poland signals a harder strategic edge in London’s approach to Russia and the eastern flank of NATO. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and his Polish…
Russia’s Oreshnik Strike Raises Questions Over Escalation and Military Effect
Russia’s latest large-scale attack on Ukraine combined drones, cruise missiles and advanced ballistic systems, including Oreshnik, Kinzhal and Zircon missiles. The strike caused civilian casualties and damage, while also exposing questions over Moscow’s escalation strategy and the practical effect of…