EU DEFENCE
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Moscow declares freedom to expand nuclear arsenal after New START ends
Russia has said it no longer considers itself bound by restrictions on its strategic nuclear arsenal as the last remaining bilateral nuclear arms control treaty between Moscow and Washington reaches its end. In a statement issued on 4 February, the…
Rutte addresses Ukrainian parliament as Russia targets power and heating infrastructure
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte visited Kyiv on Tuesday as Ukraine reported one of the largest air attacks of the year, with strikes hitting energy and heating infrastructure during sub-zero temperatures. Speaking in the Verkhovna Rada, Mr Rutte said Allied…
Unidentified drone falls inside Polish electronic warfare base near Suwałki Gap
An unidentified drone fell onto the grounds of a Poland military installation in the town of Przasnysz on 28 January, prompting a Polish Military Police investigation and fresh scrutiny of security at sites tasked with monitoring NATO’s north-eastern flank. The…
New EU funding and procurement architecture for Ukraine shifts towards arms contracts
The European Commission has put forward a new two-year financial package designed to cover a large share of Ukraine’s forecast needs in 2026 and 2027, while tying a substantial portion of EU-level support more directly to defence procurement. The proposals,…
If Russia Wins: A Scenario and the Logic of the West’s Managed Defeat
When Carlo Masala set out his hypothetical “Russian victory” in Ukraine, he defined it narrowly: not a march to Kyiv, but Moscow retaining the territories it already occupies. That premise matters because it aligns with the kind of “freeze” or…
Merz signals early talks on European “nuclear umbrella” as transatlantic strain deepens
BERLIN — Germany has begun exploring, with European partners, whether a shared nuclear deterrence arrangement could complement the United States’ longstanding role as the ultimate guarantor of European security, Chancellor Friedrich Merz said on Thursday. Speaking in Berlin after a foreign…
Starlink terminals on Russian drones raise fears of real-time targeting
Russian forces are increasingly being linked by Ukrainian specialists to the use of Starlink satellite terminals on strike drones, a development that, if sustained, could complicate interception and widen the range of targets that can be engaged under operator control.…
Latvia intelligence: Russia is starting to view Latvia as it viewed Ukraine before the invasion
Latvia’s Constitution Protection Bureau (Satversmes aizsardzības birojs, SAB) has warned that Russia is beginning to regard Latvia as it regarded Ukraine before the invasion, even though the service assesses that Moscow does not pose a direct military threat to Latvia.…
Donbas Withdrawal Emerges as Reported Condition in US–Ukraine Talks on Guarantee
Washington has signalled that any US security guarantees for Ukraine may depend on Kyiv accepting a peace deal that would involve relinquishing control of the Donbas, according to a Financial Times report. The report said US officials had also raised…
Estonia Poised to Strengthen NATO’s Eastern Flank with Major Missile Buy
Estonia is poised to select a long-range missile defence system by the end of March 2026, a move that marks a major enhancement of its deterrent posture amid rising regional tensions. The decision, which follows years of sustained investment in…