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Can Europe’s nuclear deterrent remain credible without US certainty?

Can Europe’s nuclear deterrent remain credible without US certainty?

Europe’s nuclear deterrence debate has sharpened as officials and analysts examine whether Britain and France can continue to provide a credible nuclear backstop in a less certain security environment. The immediate trigger has been a broader reassessment of deterrence in…

Secret Tunnels and Hybrid Pressure: How Belarus and Russia Are Testing Europe’s East

Secret Tunnels and Hybrid Pressure: How Belarus and Russia Are Testing Europe’s Eastern Border

Belarus’s use of migration pressure against the European Union is no longer confined to flights, forest crossings and organised pushes at the frontier. According to reporting by The Telegraph, citing Polish officials, border guards discovered four underground tunnels under the…

Four Years Since the Invasion: The War’s Strategic Lessons for Ukraine, Russia and Europe

Four Years Since the Invasion: The War’s Strategic Lessons for Ukraine, Russia and Europe

Four years after Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, the central expectation that shaped much of the early commentary has not materialised: Moscow has not achieved its declared war aims. On the fourth anniversary, the…

Trump Administration Warns EU Over ‘Buy European’ Defence Procurement Plans

Trump Administration Warns EU Over ‘Buy European’ Defence Procurement Plans

Europe’s accelerating rearmament has opened a new line of tension with Washington: not over whether European states should spend more on defence, but over where that money should go. Reports this week indicate that the Trump administration warned the European…

France and Germany remain deadlocked over €100bn FCAS fighter programme

France-Germany rift over FCAS fighter jet raises new doubts over Europe’s flagship air combat project

A public dispute between France and Germany over the next generation of European fighter aircraft has renewed uncertainty around the Future Combat Air System (FCAS), one of the continent’s most expensive and politically significant defence programmes. The disagreement centres on…