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Russia alleges Ukrainian assault on sanctioned gas vessel near Malta
Russia has accused Ukraine of carrying out an attack on a Russian-flagged liquefied natural gas tanker in the Mediterranean, an allegation that, if confirmed, would mark a notable expansion of the maritime dimension of the war beyond the Black Sea.…
Poland seeks greater autonomy in nuclear deterrence as Europe revisits defence integration
Poland has moved the question of nuclear deterrence closer to the centre of the European security debate after Prime Minister Donald Tusk said that Warsaw wants “as much autonomy as possible” in this field and is holding talks with France and…
Israel’s coherence, Washington’s ambiguity: the missing political strategy in Iran
As Israeli operations follow a clear military logic, questions grow over whether Washington has any coherent political plan for what comes next in Iran. Events in the Middle East have been moving at speed since the latest phase of the…
Belgium seizes suspected Russian shadow fleet tanker linked by US sanctions to Iranian shipping network
Belgian authorities have seized a tanker identified as part of Russia’s so-called shadow fleet in what appears to be the country’s first operation of this kind at sea. The vessel, Ethera, was intercepted overnight off the Belgian coast and escorted…
Israel’s ‘Pre-Emptive’ Strike on Iran Raises Fears of Wider Regional War
Israel has launched what it has described as a “pre-emptive attack” against Iran, a dramatic escalation that has heightened fears of a wider conflagration in the already volatile Middle East. Early this morning, explosions were reported in Tehran, and air…
Can Europe’s nuclear deterrent remain credible without US certainty?
Europe’s nuclear deterrence debate has sharpened as officials and analysts examine whether Britain and France can continue to provide a credible nuclear backstop in a less certain security environment. The immediate trigger has been a broader reassessment of deterrence in…
Mass Russian attack damages Ukraine energy grid, leaving six regions without power
Large-scale overnight missile and drone attack damages power infrastructure, forcing blackouts and supply restrictions across much of the country. Parts of six Ukrainian regions were left without electricity on Thursday, 26 February, after what Kyiv described as a combined large-scale…
Secret Tunnels and Hybrid Pressure: How Belarus and Russia Are Testing Europe’s Eastern Border
Belarus’s use of migration pressure against the European Union is no longer confined to flights, forest crossings and organised pushes at the frontier. According to reporting by The Telegraph, citing Polish officials, border guards discovered four underground tunnels under the…
China’s Critical Minerals Behind America’s Missiles
The United States still possesses the world’s most formidable military. It fields the most advanced aircraft, the most sophisticated satellites and a nuclear arsenal of unmatched technological complexity. Yet, according to a warning delivered this week by lawmakers in Washington,…
Four Years Since the Invasion: The War’s Strategic Lessons for Ukraine, Russia and Europe
Four years after Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, the central expectation that shaped much of the early commentary has not materialised: Moscow has not achieved its declared war aims. On the fourth anniversary, the…