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Russia’s Poland Test Would Be a Test of NATO’s Political Nerve
Reported US warnings to Warsaw point to a limited Russian provocation rather than a conventional invasion. The aim would be to fracture NATO decision-making, weaken support for Ukraine, and expose uncertainty over Washington’s response. Reported American warnings to Warsaw that…
Keir Starmer, Churchillian Rhetoric, Peacetime Budgets, & the Slow Death of Britain’s Defence Capabilities
Great powers can decline with dignity. Formerly great powers, by contrast, often compensate for diminished means with inflated rhetoric. Britain has chosen the latter course. It still speaks in the accents of a serious military state. Ministers talk of deterrence,…
NATO’s Saab turn is about more than replacing AWACS
NATO’s apparent decision to replace its ageing fleet of AWACS surveillance aircraft with Saab’s GlobalEye is, on the face of it, a procurement story: old planes out, newer planes in. In reality it looks rather more consequential than that. If…
Kyiv Attack Shows Why Air Defence Alone Is Not Enough
Russia’s latest missile and drone attack on Kyiv killed at least ten people and injured 34, according to updated casualty figures. The strike points to a longer problem for Ukraine: how to defend large cities if Russian air attacks continue…