GEOPOLITICAL INSIGHTS
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Trump’s Blind Spot: How America’s European Bases Serve Washington, Not Brussels
Donald Trump’s periodic threats to reduce—or even dismantle—America’s military footprint in Europe betray a strikingly narrow understanding of what those bases are for. The popular shorthand, often repeated in political rhetoric, is that the United States stations troops in Europe…
Trump’s Germany troop drawdown renews debate over Europe’s reliance on US security guarantees
Washington’s decision to withdraw around 5,000 troops from Germany, and cancel a planned long-range fires deployment, has raised concern in Congress and renewed pressure on Europe to accelerate its own defence planning. President Donald Trump’s decision to reduce the United…
Trump’s Germany Drawdown Signals a Shift Europe Cannot Ignore
Washington’s planned withdrawal of 5,000 troops from Germany may be presented as a bilateral dispute with Berlin, but it sends a wider signal to Moscow, NATO and Europe about the future of American deterrence on the continent. The Pentagon’s confirmation…
America Pulls Back: Troop Cut Signals Strain in US–Germany Ties
In the careful choreography of transatlantic diplomacy, symbolism matters. Yet in recent days, substance has cut through the ceremony with unmistakable force. Washington’s decision to reduce its troop presence in Germany by 5,000 personnel has not only rattled Berlin but…
France’s Bid to Anchor a New European Security Order Faces Test of Scale, Industry and Politics
As confidence in Washington’s long-term role in NATO weakens, Paris is seeking to place France at the centre of Europe’s defence adaptation. But nuclear status and strategic ambition do not by themselves provide the troops, industry, logistics and political continuity…
Trump signals possible cut to US troops in Germany amid dispute with Berlin
US President Donald Trump has said Washington is reviewing a possible reduction of American forces stationed in Germany, in a move that would test alliance planning at a time of renewed tension between the White House and Chancellor Friedrich Merz…
Russian Setback in Mali Exposes Limits of Moscow’s Sahel Strategy
The killing of Mali’s defence minister and the reported withdrawal of Russian-backed forces from Kidal have exposed the limits of Bamako’s reliance on Moscow, as jihadist and Tuareg forces challenge the authority of the military junta. Mali’s military authorities are…
China’s Own ‘Mythos’ Moment Raises Stakes in AI Cyber Race with US
A new warning from former US National Security Council technology official Chris McGuire argues that China could soon develop an AI cyber capability comparable to Anthropic’s Claude Mythos, narrowing America’s lead and increasing pressure on Washington to harden critical infrastructure…
Russia’s Defence Minister Andrei Belousov Flies Into North Korea
The arrival of Russia’s defence minister Andrei Belousov in Pyongyang this weekend might, at first glance, appear a routine diplomatic engagement. It is anything but. Beneath the ceremonial language and carefully staged commemorations lies a relationship that has evolved with remarkable…
France and Greece put EU mutual defence back into operational focus
Emmanuel Macron and Kyriakos Mitsotakis have renewed the Franco-Greek defence partnership in Athens, using the visit to argue that Europe’s mutual assistance clause should be treated as an operational commitment rather than a treaty provision rarely tested in practice. France…