Poland seeks greater autonomy in nuclear deterrence as Europe revisits defence integration

Poland seeks greater autonomy in nuclear deterrence as Europe revisits defence integration

Poland has moved the question of nuclear deterrence closer to the centre of the European security debate after Prime Minister Donald Tusk said that Warsaw wants “as much autonomy as possible” in this field and is holding talks with France and…

Israel’s coherence, Washington’s ambiguity: the missing political strategy in Iran

Israel’s coherence, Washington’s ambiguity: the missing political strategy in Iran

As Israeli operations follow a clear military logic, questions grow over whether Washington has any coherent political plan for what comes next in Iran. Events in the Middle East have been moving at speed since the latest phase of the…

Four Years Since the Invasion: The War’s Strategic Lessons for Ukraine, Russia and Europe

Four Years Since the Invasion: The War’s Strategic Lessons for Ukraine, Russia and Europe

Four years after Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, the central expectation that shaped much of the early commentary has not materialised: Moscow has not achieved its declared war aims. On the fourth anniversary, the…

Moscow and Tehran: Alleged Verba Missile Agreement Adds New Pressure on Washington

Moscow and Tehran: Alleged Verba Missile Agreement Adds New Pressure on Washington

A reported secret Russian-Iranian air defence deal has added a new layer of risk to an already volatile stand-off between Washington and Tehran, while raising wider questions about the strategic alignment linking Russia, Iran and, indirectly, China. According to a…

US allegations over covert Chinese nuclear testing sharpen scrutiny of Beijing’s modernisation drive

US allegations over covert Chinese nuclear testing sharpen scrutiny of Beijing’s modernisation drive

Claims by US officials that China may have conducted a covert nuclear explosive test are likely to intensify an already fraught debate over strategic stability, arms control and the pace of Beijing’s military modernisation. The issue re-entered public discussion this…

Trump Administration Warns EU Over ‘Buy European’ Defence Procurement Plans

Trump Administration Warns EU Over ‘Buy European’ Defence Procurement Plans

Europe’s accelerating rearmament has opened a new line of tension with Washington: not over whether European states should spend more on defence, but over where that money should go. Reports this week indicate that the Trump administration warned the European…