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If Russia Wins: A Scenario and the Logic of the West’s Managed Defeat

If Russia Wins: A Scenario and the Logic of the West’s Managed Defeat

When Carlo Masala set out his hypothetical “Russian victory” in Ukraine, he defined it narrowly: not a march to Kyiv, but Moscow retaining the territories it already occupies. That premise matters because it aligns with the kind of “freeze” or…

China-linked machine tools and chips: claims of a supply chain behind Russia’s Oreshnik missile

China-linked machine tools and chips: claims of a supply chain behind Russia’s Oreshnik missile

European governments have often treated dialogue with Beijing as a practical channel in foreign policy, including in managing risks linked to Russia’s war against Ukraine. A recent investigation by The Telegraph has prompted a different focus: whether Chinese-origin industrial equipment…