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Poland seeks greater autonomy in nuclear deterrence as Europe revisits defence integration

Poland seeks greater autonomy in nuclear deterrence as Europe revisits defence integration

Poland has moved the question of nuclear deterrence closer to the centre of the European security debate after Prime Minister Donald Tusk said that Warsaw wants “as much autonomy as possible” in this field and is holding talks with France and…

Israel’s coherence, Washington’s ambiguity: the missing political strategy in Iran

Israel’s coherence, Washington’s ambiguity: the missing political strategy in Iran

As Israeli operations follow a clear military logic, questions grow over whether Washington has any coherent political plan for what comes next in Iran. Events in the Middle East have been moving at speed since the latest phase of the…

Can Europe’s nuclear deterrent remain credible without US certainty?

Can Europe’s nuclear deterrent remain credible without US certainty?

Europe’s nuclear deterrence debate has sharpened as officials and analysts examine whether Britain and France can continue to provide a credible nuclear backstop in a less certain security environment. The immediate trigger has been a broader reassessment of deterrence in…

Secret Tunnels and Hybrid Pressure: How Belarus and Russia Are Testing Europe’s East

Secret Tunnels and Hybrid Pressure: How Belarus and Russia Are Testing Europe’s Eastern Border

Belarus’s use of migration pressure against the European Union is no longer confined to flights, forest crossings and organised pushes at the frontier. According to reporting by The Telegraph, citing Polish officials, border guards discovered four underground tunnels under the…

Four Years Since the Invasion: The War’s Strategic Lessons for Ukraine, Russia and Europe

Four Years Since the Invasion: The War’s Strategic Lessons for Ukraine, Russia and Europe

Four years after Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, the central expectation that shaped much of the early commentary has not materialised: Moscow has not achieved its declared war aims. On the fourth anniversary, the…